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Ekhaya vs Dedza Dynamos Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:30

Ekhaya

PPG 2.20 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Dedza Dynamos

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.71 for Home, form 2.20 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-13.1%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.1%1-16.3%1-21.0%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-019.5%2-16.4%2-21.1%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.2%3-14.4%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.8%4+-13.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.1% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 45.3% — — —

Home O1.5 58.4% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob45.3%

H 69% / xG 2.0-0.3 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 19.5%

#2 1–0 19.1%

#3 3–0 13.2%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 1–1✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ekhaya2.0

Dedza Dynamos0.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EKHAYA · PPG 2.20

DEDZA DYNAMOS · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.71 for Home, form 2.20 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ekhaya (H) 69.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dedza Dynamos (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ekhaya face Dedza Dynamos in Malawi - Super League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ekhaya a 69% chance, the draw 22% and Dedza Dynamos 9%, so Ekhaya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ekhaya and 0.3 for Dedza Dynamos (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ekhaya are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.80 for Dedza Dynamos. This match finished 1-1.

Ekhaya vs Dedza Dynamos Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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