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Brommapojkarna W vs Häcken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Brommapojkarna W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Häcken W

PPG 2.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.3%0-27.7%0-36.3%0-4+6.9%1 1-03.1%1-17.6%1-29.3%1-37.6%1-4+8.4%2 2-01.9%2-14.6%2-25.7%2-34.6%2-4+5.1%3 3-00.8%3-11.9%3-22.3%3-31.9%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.3% 14.3% 7.00 +37.9%

Draw 20.9% 21.7% 4.60 -2.3%

Away win 55.8% 75.8% 1.32 -26.3%

Over 2.5 67.3% 64.9% 1.54 +3.6%

Over 3.5 43.0% 42.9% 2.33 +0.2%

BTTS 62.5% 55.6% 1.80 +12.5%

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob62.5%

A 56% / xG 1.2-2.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 1–3 7.6%

#5 0–3 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brommapojkarna W1.2

Häcken W2.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BROMMAPOJKARNA W · PPG 1.50

HÄCKEN W · PPG 2.57

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.24 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Brommapojkarna W (H) 23.3%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +37.9%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -2.3%

Häcken W (A) 55.8%

ODDS 1.32 · IMPLIED 75.8% EV -26.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brommapojkarna W face Häcken W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brommapojkarna W a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Häcken W 56%, so Häcken W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Brommapojkarna W and 2.5 for Häcken W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brommapojkarna W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.57 for Häcken W. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +12.5%.

Brommapojkarna W vs Häcken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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