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Eskilstuna United W vs Kristianstad W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Eskilstuna United W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kristianstad W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.1%0-24.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.8%1-111.6%1-26.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.4%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.3%3-15.1%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.0%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 30.8% 3.25 +61.5%

Draw 24.5% 32.3% 3.10 -14.4%

Away win 25.7% 51.3% 1.95 -29.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 58.8% 1.70 -9.0%

Over 3.5 32.5% 38.2% 2.62 -14.8%

BTTS 54.6% 63.7% 1.57 -14.3%

Home O1.5 47.5% 38.2% 2.62 +24.4%

Away O1.5 35.5% 54.6% 1.83 -35.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 50% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0✓ 9.8%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskilstuna United W1.6

Kristianstad W1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKILSTUNA UNITED W · PPG 1.67

KRISTIANSTAD W · PPG 1.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Eskilstuna United W (H) 49.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +61.5%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.4%

Kristianstad W (A) 25.7%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -29.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskilstuna United W face Kristianstad W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskilstuna United W a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Kristianstad W 26%, so Eskilstuna United W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Eskilstuna United W and 1.2 for Kristianstad W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskilstuna United W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Kristianstad W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +66.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Eskilstuna United W vs Kristianstad W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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