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AIK W vs Brommapojkarna W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

AIK W

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brommapojkarna W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.4%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.4%1-18.1%1-23.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-19.6%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.0%3-17.7%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.4%4+-18.1%4+-23.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.6% 57.1% 1.75 +2.5%

Draw 21.3% 27.8% 3.60 -14.0%

Away win 20.1% 27.0% 3.70 -15.4%

Over 2.5 63.4% 64.1% 1.56 -1.1%

Over 3.5 39.5% 41.2% 2.43 -4.0%

BTTS 54.6% 64.9% 1.54 -15.9%

Home O1.5 62.4% 61.7% 1.62 +1.1%

Away O1.5 27.9% 38.5% 2.60 -16.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 59% / xG 2.4-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.1%

#4 3–0 8.0%

#5 3–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AIK W2.4

Brommapojkarna W1.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AIK W · PPG 2.67

BROMMAPOJKARNA W · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.43 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

AIK W (H) 58.6%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV +2.5%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -14.0%

Brommapojkarna W (A) 20.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -15.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

AIK W face Brommapojkarna W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AIK W a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Brommapojkarna W 20%, so AIK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for AIK W and 1.0 for Brommapojkarna W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AIK W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Brommapojkarna W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +1.1%.

AIK W vs Brommapojkarna W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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