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Uppsala W vs Malmö FF W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Uppsala W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Malmö FF W

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.02 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-111.9%0-211.3%0-37.1%0-4+5.2%1 1-05.5%1-110.4%1-29.8%1-36.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.4%2-14.5%2-24.3%2-32.7%2-4+2.0%3 3-00.7%3-11.3%3-21.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.5% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 56.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob53.1%

A 56% / xG 0.9-1.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 0–2 11.3%

#3 0–1 11.9%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uppsala W0.9

Malmö FF W1.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UPPSALA W · PPG 1.00

MALMÖ FF W · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.02 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Uppsala W (H) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Malmö FF W (A) 56.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uppsala W face Malmö FF W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uppsala W a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Malmö FF W 56%, so Malmö FF W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Uppsala W and 1.9 for Malmö FF W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uppsala W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Malmö FF W.

Uppsala W vs Malmö FF W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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