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Rosengård W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Rosengård W

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eskilstuna United W

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-17.7%0-22.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.0%1-111.7%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-18.9%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.1%3-14.5%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-12.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% 60.2% 1.66 -11.5%

Draw 24.4% 28.2% 3.55 -8.0%

Away win 22.2% 23.3% 4.30 -2.7%

Over 2.5 49.9% 59.5% 1.68 -16.2%

Over 3.5 28.7% 37.0% 2.70 -13.5%

BTTS 49.2% 60.2% 1.66 -18.3%

Home O1.5 45.1% 60.6% 1.65 -25.6%

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 53% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.0%

#2 1–1 11.7%

#3 0–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 12.1%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosengård W1.5

Eskilstuna United W0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENGÅRD W · PPG 0.83

ESKILSTUNA UNITED W · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rosengård W (H) 53.3%

ODDS 1.66 · IMPLIED 60.2% EV -11.5%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -8.0%

Eskilstuna United W (A) 22.2%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV -2.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosengård W face Eskilstuna United W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosengård W a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Eskilstuna United W 22%, so Rosengård W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rosengård W and 0.7 for Eskilstuna United W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosengård W are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.17 for Eskilstuna United W.

Rosengård W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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