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Hammarby W vs Piteå W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Hammarby W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Piteå W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 75.3% vs bookmaker-implied 82.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-12.2%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.0%1-15.5%1-21.2%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.6%2-17.0%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.1%3-16.0%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-016.6%4+-17.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.3% 82.6% 1.21 -8.9%

Draw 16.9% 17.2% 5.80 -1.2%

Away win 7.8% 11.1% 9.00 -17.9%

Over 2.5 59.5% 75.8% 1.32 -21.5%

Over 3.5 36.5% 54.3% 1.84 -32.8%

BTTS 44.6% 58.5% 1.71 -23.7%

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 75% / xG 2.6-0.4 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.6%

#2 3–0 14.1%

#3 1–0 13.0%

#4 4–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hammarby W2.6

Piteå W0.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMMARBY W · PPG 2.50

PITEÅ W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.13 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hammarby W (H) 75.3%

ODDS 1.21 · IMPLIED 82.6% EV -8.9%

Draw 16.9%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV -1.2%

Piteå W (A) 7.8%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV -17.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hammarby W face Piteå W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hammarby W a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Piteå W 8%, so Hammarby W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Hammarby W and 0.4 for Piteå W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hammarby W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Piteå W.

Hammarby W vs Piteå W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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