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Lidingö vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Lidingö

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Viggbyholms IK

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-17.1%0-23.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.9%1-111.7%1-25.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.6%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.4%3-15.3%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 47.6% 2.10 +2.5%

Draw 24.6% 28.2% 3.55 -7.6%

Away win 26.6% 34.5% 2.90 -13.7%

Over 2.5 53.7% 63.7% 1.57 -15.7%

Over 3.5 31.8% 40.8% 2.45 -22.1%

BTTS 54.1% 67.6% 1.48 -19.9%

Home O1.5 47.2% 55.6% 1.80 -15.0%

Away O1.5 27.1% 46.5% 2.15 -25.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.1%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–0 11.9%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lidingö1.6

Viggbyholms IK1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LIDINGÖ · PPG 0.57

VIGGBYHOLMS IK · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lidingö (H) 48.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +2.5%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -7.6%

Viggbyholms IK (A) 26.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -13.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lidingö face Viggbyholms IK in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lidingö a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Viggbyholms IK 27%, so Lidingö are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lidingö and 1.0 for Viggbyholms IK (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lidingö are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.00 for Viggbyholms IK.

Lidingö vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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