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AIK W vs Vittsjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

AIK W

PPG 2.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vittsjö W

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 56.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-17.0%0-22.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.5%1-111.3%1-24.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.1%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.8%3-14.9%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-12.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% 56.2% 1.78 -6.2%

Draw 24.3% 28.6% 3.50 -9.0%

Away win 23.0% 27.0% 3.70 -8.9%

Over 2.5 49.9% 62.5% 1.60 -20.2%

Over 3.5 28.7% 40.3% 2.48 -17.3%

BTTS 49.2% 64.5% 1.55 -23.7%

Home O1.5 47.2% 60.6% 1.65 -22.1%

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 53% / xG 1.6-0.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.5%

#2 1–1 11.3%

#3 2–0 12.5%

#4 0–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AIK W1.6

Vittsjö W0.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AIK W · PPG 2.71

VITTSJÖ W · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.89 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

AIK W (H) 52.7%

ODDS 1.78 · IMPLIED 56.2% EV -6.2%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.0%

Vittsjö W (A) 23.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

AIK W face Vittsjö W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AIK W a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Vittsjö W 23%, so AIK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for AIK W and 0.7 for Vittsjö W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AIK W are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.17 for Vittsjö W.

AIK W vs Vittsjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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