Today / Poland - III Liga - Group 1 / Widzew II vs Swit
Widzew II vs Swit Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 1
Group I · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 10:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 51% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%
Form & verdict
WIDZEW II · PPG 1.73
SWIT · PPG 1.48
xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Widzew II face Swit in Poland - III Liga - Group 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Widzew II a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Swit 26%, so Widzew II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Widzew II and 1.6 for Swit (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Widzew II are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.48 for Swit.