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Mt Druitt Town vs Hills Brumbies Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 09:00

Mt Druitt Town

PPG 0.85 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hills Brumbies

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-16.5%0-27.5%0-35.8%0-4+5.7%1 1-03.6%1-18.2%1-29.5%1-37.3%1-4+7.2%2 2-02.3%2-15.2%2-26.0%2-34.6%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.0%3-12.2%3-22.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 55.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.3%

A 56% / xG 1.3-2.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.5%

#2 1–1 8.2%

#3 0–2 7.5%

#4 1–3 7.3%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mt Druitt Town1.3

Hills Brumbies2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MT DRUITT TOWN · PPG 0.85

HILLS BRUMBIES · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.04 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Mt Druitt Town (H) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hills Brumbies (A) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mt Druitt Town face Hills Brumbies in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mt Druitt Town a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Hills Brumbies 56%, so Hills Brumbies are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Mt Druitt Town and 2.3 for Hills Brumbies (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mt Druitt Town are averaging 0.85 points per game versus 1.43 for Hills Brumbies.

Mt Druitt Town vs Hills Brumbies Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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