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Newcastle Jets II vs Dulwich Hill Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Newcastle Jets II

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dulwich Hill

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.9%0-23.2%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.0%1-18.2%1-26.7%1-33.7%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.2%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.7%3-16.0%3-24.9%3-32.7%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.1%4+-24.2%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.3%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newcastle Jets II2.1

Dulwich Hill1.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWCASTLE JETS II · PPG 1.00

DULWICH HILL · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Newcastle Jets II (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dulwich Hill (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Newcastle Jets II face Dulwich Hill in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle Jets II a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Dulwich Hill 29%, so Newcastle Jets II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Newcastle Jets II and 1.6 for Dulwich Hill (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle Jets II are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.92 for Dulwich Hill.

Newcastle Jets II vs Dulwich Hill Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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