Today / Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 / Bulls Academy vs Northern Tigers

Bulls Academy vs Northern Tigers Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Bulls Academy

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Northern Tigers

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 68.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.8%0-27.5%0-34.2%0-4+2.6%1 1-06.5%1-111.1%1-29.4%1-35.3%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.1%2-17.0%2-26.0%2-33.4%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.7%3-13.0%3-22.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.0% 23.1% 4.33 +15.3%

Draw 23.3% 23.8% 4.20 -1.3%

Away win 47.7% 63.7% 1.57 -25.1%

Over 2.5 59.5% 65.4% 1.53 -9.0%

Over 3.5 36.5% 45.2% 2.21 -19.3%

BTTS 60.3% 68.5% 1.46 -12.0%

Home O1.5 37.8% 41.2% 2.43 -8.2%

Away O1.5 47.7% 64.1% 1.56 -25.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.3%

A 48% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 7.5%

#4 0–1 8.8%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulls Academy1.3

Northern Tigers1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLS ACADEMY · PPG 1.33

NORTHERN TIGERS · PPG 1.69

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bulls Academy (H) 29.0%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +15.3%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -1.3%

Northern Tigers (A) 47.7%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -25.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulls Academy face Northern Tigers in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulls Academy a 29% chance, the draw 23% and Northern Tigers 48%, so Northern Tigers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bulls Academy and 1.7 for Northern Tigers (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulls Academy are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.69 for Northern Tigers.

Bulls Academy vs Northern Tigers Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 Predictions