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Rydalmere Lions vs Prospect United Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 08:30

Rydalmere Lions

PPG 1.31 · HOME

UPCOMING

Prospect United

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-17.3%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.6%1-111.8%1-25.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.5%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.4%3-15.1%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.4% 45.5% 2.20 +8.7%

Draw 24.9% 27.8% 3.60 -6.2%

Away win 25.7% 38.2% 2.62 -19.6%

Over 2.5 50.1% 61.7% 1.62 -18.8%

Over 3.5 29.6% 44.8% 2.23 -20.4%

BTTS 53.1% 70.4% 1.42 -24.6%

Home O1.5 47.2% 57.5% 1.74 -17.9%

Away O1.5 26.2% 46.9% 2.13 -26.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 49% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 2–0 10.1%

#4 0–0 7.8%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rydalmere Lions1.6

Prospect United0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RYDALMERE LIONS · PPG 1.31

PROSPECT UNITED · PPG 0.85

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rydalmere Lions (H) 49.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +8.7%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.2%

Prospect United (A) 25.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -19.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rydalmere Lions face Prospect United in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rydalmere Lions a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Prospect United 26%, so Rydalmere Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rydalmere Lions and 0.9 for Prospect United (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rydalmere Lions are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.85 for Prospect United.

Rydalmere Lions vs Prospect United Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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