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Canterbury Bankstown vs Hakoah Sydney City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Canterbury Bankstown

PPG 1.54 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hakoah Sydney City

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.9%0-23.0%0-32.1%0-4+1.7%1 1-03.1%1-16.4%1-26.6%1-34.6%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.4%2-17.0%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.2%3 3-02.5%3-15.1%3-25.3%3-33.7%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-14.7%4+-24.8%4+-33.4%4+-4+2.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% 39.2% 2.55 +2.3%

Draw 20.7% 26.3% 3.80 -12.8%

Away win 39.2% 46.5% 2.15 -15.7%

Over 2.5 71.6% 69.4% 1.44 +3.1%

Over 3.5 50.9% 48.8% 2.05 +4.3%

BTTS 69.4% 73.0% 1.37 -4.9%

Home O1.5 63.0% 54.3% 1.84 +15.9%

Away O1.5 54.9% 56.2% 1.78 -2.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.4%

H 40% / xG 2.2-2.1 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.4%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 2–1 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canterbury Bankstown2.2

Hakoah Sydney City2.1

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 50.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CANTERBURY BANKSTOWN · PPG 1.54

HAKOAH SYDNEY CITY · PPG 1.15

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Canterbury Bankstown (H) 40.1%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +2.3%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -12.8%

Hakoah Sydney City (A) 39.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Canterbury Bankstown face Hakoah Sydney City in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canterbury Bankstown a 40% chance, the draw 21% and Hakoah Sydney City 39%, so Canterbury Bankstown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Canterbury Bankstown and 2.1 for Hakoah Sydney City (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canterbury Bankstown are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.15 for Hakoah Sydney City. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +15.9%.

Canterbury Bankstown vs Hakoah Sydney City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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