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Municipal Limeño vs Platense Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:00

Municipal Limeño

PPG 2.06 · HOME

UPCOMING

Platense

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-18.2%0-24.4%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.4%1-112.3%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.2%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.3%3-14.6%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–0 7.6%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Municipal Limeño1.5

Platense1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MUNICIPAL LIMEÑO · PPG 2.06

PLATENSE · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Municipal Limeño (H) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Platense (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Municipal Limeño face Platense in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Municipal Limeño a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Platense 26%, so Municipal Limeño are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Municipal Limeño and 1.1 for Platense (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Municipal Limeño are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.13 for Platense.

Municipal Limeño vs Platense Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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