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Bolívar vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 00:00

Bolívar

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 80.3% vs bookmaker-implied 89.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.2%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.9%1-14.0%1-21.4%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.9%2-16.8%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.1%3-17.6%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-021.8%4+-114.9%4+-25.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.5% 90.9% 1.10 -15.8%

Draw 15.8% 12.8% 7.80 +13.9%

Away win 7.7% 6.3% 16.00 +13.9%

Over 2.5 67.4% 82.0% 1.22 -17.8%

Over 3.5 47.2% 64.5% 1.55 -26.8%

BTTS 51.9% 55.6% 1.80 -6.6%

Home O1.5 80.3% 89.3% 1.12 -10.1%

Away O1.5 17.2% 22.2% 4.50 -13.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob51.9%

H 76% / xG 3.4-0.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.1%

#2 2–0 9.9%

#3 4–0 9.3%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bolívar3.4

San Antonio Bulo Bulo0.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLÍVAR · PPG 2.29

SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO · PPG 0.17

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.67 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bolívar (H) 76.5%

ODDS 1.10 · IMPLIED 90.9% EV -15.8%

Draw 15.8%

ODDS 7.80 · IMPLIED 12.8% EV +13.9%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (A) 7.7%

ODDS 16.00 · IMPLIED 6.3% EV +13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bolívar face San Antonio Bulo Bulo in Bolivia - Primera División on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bolívar a 77% chance, the draw 16% and San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8%, so Bolívar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Bolívar and 0.7 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bolívar are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.17 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +59.0%.

Bolívar vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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