Today / Bolivia - Primera División / San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Nacional Potosí

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Nacional Potosí Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 19:00

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

PPG 1.86 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Nacional Potosí

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-16.5%0-24.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.1%1-111.1%1-26.8%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.5%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.5%3-15.4%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.4%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% 44.4% 2.25 +11.6%

Draw 24.6% 28.2% 3.55 -7.6%

Away win 25.8% 37.0% 2.70 -18.2%

Over 2.5 53.5% 66.7% 1.50 -19.8%

Over 3.5 33.5% 45.5% 2.20 -26.3%

BTTS 54.6% 71.4% 1.40 -23.6%

Home O1.5 49.2% 55.6% 1.80 -11.4%

Away O1.5 35.7% 51.3% 1.95 -30.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 50% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1✓ 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.7

Nacional Potosí1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO · PPG 1.86

NACIONAL POTOSÍ · PPG 0.71

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (H) 49.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +11.6%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -7.6%

Nacional Potosí (A) 25.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -18.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Antonio Bulo Bulo face Nacional Potosí in Bolivia - Primera División on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Antonio Bulo Bulo a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Nacional Potosí 26%, so San Antonio Bulo Bulo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 1.2 for Nacional Potosí (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Antonio Bulo Bulo are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.71 for Nacional Potosí. This match finished 2-1.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Nacional Potosí Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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