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Blooming vs Aurora Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 23:30

Blooming

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aurora

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-19.5%0-23.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.8%1-112.7%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.5%2-18.4%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.7%3-13.7%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 57.8% 1.73 -16.4%

Draw 28.3% 26.3% 3.80 +4.5%

Away win 23.3% 25.6% 3.90 -5.5%

Over 2.5 42.7% 64.5% 1.55 -33.8%

Over 3.5 21.1% 42.0% 2.38 -29.9%

BTTS 47.7% 66.7% 1.50 -28.4%

Home O1.5 37.9% 62.5% 1.60 -39.4%

Away O1.5 21.1% 38.5% 2.60 -27.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 15.8%

#3 0–0 11.9%

#4 2–0 10.5%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blooming1.3

Aurora0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BLOOMING · PPG 1.86

AURORA · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Blooming (H) 48.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -16.4%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +4.5%

Aurora (A) 23.3%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Blooming face Aurora in Bolivia - Primera División on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blooming a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Aurora 23%, so Blooming are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Blooming and 0.8 for Aurora (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blooming are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.43 for Aurora.

Blooming vs Aurora Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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