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Real Potosí vs Blooming Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 21:15

Real Potosí

PPG 1.71 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Blooming

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-15.6%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.6%1-110.1%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-19.1%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.4%3-15.4%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-13.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.2% 55.6% 1.80 +8.4%

Draw 22.6% 28.6% 3.50 -12.5%

Away win 17.2% 26.3% 3.80 -20.8%

Over 2.5 50.3% 58.8% 1.70 -14.5%

Over 3.5 28.8% 37.0% 2.70 -13.3%

BTTS 48.4% 62.5% 1.60 -22.6%

Home O1.5 49.2% 57.8% 1.73 -14.9%

Away O1.5 17.4% 36.4% 2.75 -31.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 60% / xG 1.8-0.6 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.6%

#2 2–0✓ 14.0%

#3 1–1 10.1%

#4 0–0 8.7%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Potosí1.8

Blooming0.6

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL POTOSÍ · PPG 1.71

BLOOMING · PPG 0.83

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Real Potosí (H) 60.2%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +8.4%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -12.5%

Blooming (A) 17.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Potosí face Blooming in Bolivia - Primera División on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Potosí a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Blooming 17%, so Real Potosí are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Real Potosí and 0.6 for Blooming (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Potosí are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.83 for Blooming. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +2.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Real Potosí vs Blooming Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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