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Al Sahel vs Shamiya Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Sunday, August 9, 2026, 17:45

Al Sahel

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shamiya

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.50 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-13.4%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.0%1-18.0%1-23.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-19.6%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.5%3-17.6%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.0%4+-18.0%4+-23.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.5% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.9% — — —

Over 3.5 38.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 23.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 56% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 3–0 8.5%

#5 1–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sahel2.4

Shamiya0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SAHEL · PPG 1.60

SHAMIYA · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Sahel (H) 56.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shamiya (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sahel face Shamiya in Kuwait - Division 1 on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sahel a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Shamiya 21%, so Al Sahel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Al Sahel and 0.9 for Shamiya (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sahel are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.86 for Shamiya.

Al Sahel vs Shamiya Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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