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Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Sunday, August 9, 2026, 17:45

Al Sulaibikhat

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sporty

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.54 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.38 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-13.9%0-21.1%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.3%1-18.3%1-22.4%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.2%2-18.7%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.7%3-16.2%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.2%4+-15.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.0% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 14.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 61.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 64% / xG 2.1-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.2%

#2 1–0 14.3%

#3 3–0 10.7%

#4 1–1 8.3%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sulaibikhat2.1

Sporty0.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SULAIBIKHAT · PPG 2.00

SPORTY · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.54 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.38 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Al Sulaibikhat (H) 64.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sporty (A) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sulaibikhat face Sporty in Kuwait - Division 1 on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sulaibikhat a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Sporty 15%, so Al Sulaibikhat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Al Sulaibikhat and 0.6 for Sporty (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sulaibikhat are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.38 for Sporty.

Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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