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Khaitan vs Al Jazira Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 18 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 17:25

Khaitan

PPG 0.67 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Al Jazira

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.38 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-113.5%0-213.8%0-39.4%0-4+7.8%1 1-04.4%1-19.1%1-29.3%1-36.3%1-4+5.2%2 2-01.5%2-13.0%2-23.1%2-32.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.0% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 65.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob47.7%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.0 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.8%

#2 0–1 13.5%

#3 1–1 9.1%

#4 0–3 9.4%

#5 1–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Khaitan0.7

Al Jazira2.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KHAITAN · PPG 0.67

AL JAZIRA · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.38 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Khaitan (H) 13.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Jazira (A) 65.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Khaitan face Al Jazira in Kuwait - Division 1 on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Khaitan a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Al Jazira 66%, so Al Jazira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Khaitan and 2.0 for Al Jazira (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Khaitan are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 2.25 for Al Jazira. This match finished 2-2.

Khaitan vs Al Jazira Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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