Warta Poznan vs Podbeskidzie Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 28 Stadion Respect Energy· Grodzisk Wielkopolski Sunday, April 19, 2026 17:30

Warta Poznan PPG 2.21

1-2 HIT CS5

Podbeskidzie PPG 1.21

Home· +34.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Warta Poznan face Podbeskidzie in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Warta Poznan a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Podbeskidzie 28%, so Warta Poznan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Warta Poznan and 1.4 for Podbeskidzie (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Warta Poznan are averaging 2.21 points per game versus 1.21 for Podbeskidzie. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +34.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.8%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +34.5%

Draw 22.4%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -32.8%

Away 27.8%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -36.1%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 41.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.62 +2.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Warta Poznan

1.89

Podbeskidzie

1.37

Model SuggestionBTTS +2.7% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+34.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.21) vs P(Home)=49.8%