Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / PK-35 vs Haka
PK-35 vs Haka Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga
Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%
Form & verdict
PK-35 · PPG 1.88
HAKA · PPG 1.57
xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
PK-35 face Haka in Finland - Ykkosliga on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PK-35 a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Haka 24%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for PK-35 and 0.9 for Haka (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PK-35 are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.57 for Haka. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +11.2%.