Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / JIPPO vs JäPS

JIPPO vs JäPS Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 15:30

JIPPO

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

JäPS

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 58.3% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-16.1%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.2%1-110.2%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.5%2-18.7%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.2%3-14.9%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-13.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.3% 67.6% 1.48 -13.7%

Draw 22.8% 25.6% 3.90 -6.7%

Away win 18.9% 16.7% 6.00 +8.0%

Over 2.5 50.4% 54.1% 1.85 -6.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 31.3% 3.20 -4.5%

BTTS 48.7% 51.3% 1.95 -5.0%

Home O1.5 49.4% 61.7% 1.62 -20.0%

Away O1.5 17.4% 23.1% 4.33 -14.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.7%

H 58% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.2%

#2 2–0 14.5%

#3 1–1 10.2%

#4 0–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JIPPO1.7

JäPS0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JIPPO · PPG 1.62

JÄPS · PPG 1.25

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

JIPPO (H) 58.3%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -13.7%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -6.7%

JäPS (A) 18.9%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +8.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

JIPPO face JäPS in Finland - Ykkosliga on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JIPPO a 58% chance, the draw 23% and JäPS 19%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for JIPPO and 0.6 for JäPS (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JIPPO are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.25 for JäPS. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +7.4%.

JIPPO vs JäPS Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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