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Dynamo vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 11:30

Dynamo

PPG 1.36 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Dinamo Makhachkala

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-110.6%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.2%1-113.2%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.8%2-18.2%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.4%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.6% 59.5% 1.68 -31.8%

Draw 32.5% 26.7% 3.74 +21.6%

Away win 26.9% 17.9% 5.60 +30.4%

Over 2.5 44.0% 47.6% 2.10 -7.6%

Over 3.5 22.0% 27.2% 3.68 -11.4%

BTTS 48.4% 49.5% 2.02 -2.2%

Home O1.5 34.8% 52.6% 1.90 -33.9%

Away O1.5 26.4% 21.1% 4.75 +15.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -8.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

H 41% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 14.2%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dynamo1.2

Dinamo Makhachkala0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DYNAMO · PPG 1.36

DINAMO MAKHACHKALA · PPG 1.42

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dynamo (H) 40.6%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -31.8%

Draw 32.5%

ODDS 3.74 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +21.6%

Dinamo Makhachkala (A) 26.9%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV +30.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dynamo face Dinamo Makhachkala in Russia - Premier League on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dynamo a 41% chance, the draw 33% and Dinamo Makhachkala 27%, so Dynamo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dynamo and 0.9 for Dinamo Makhachkala (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dynamo are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.42 for Dinamo Makhachkala. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +26.7%. This match finished 3-1.

Dynamo vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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