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CD Arabe Unido vs Alianza FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 01:30

CD Arabe Unido

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Alianza FC

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-110.7%0-26.1%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.4%1-113.1%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.0%2-18.0%2-24.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.3%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.8% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 33.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 33.1% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

H 40% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 0–1 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CD Arabe Unido1.2

Alianza FC1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CD ARABE UNIDO · PPG 1.67

ALIANZA FC · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

CD Arabe Unido (H) 39.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alianza FC (A) 33.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CD Arabe Unido face Alianza FC in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CD Arabe Unido a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Alianza FC 34%, so CD Arabe Unido are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for CD Arabe Unido and 1.2 for Alianza FC (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CD Arabe Unido are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.20 for Alianza FC.

CD Arabe Unido vs Alianza FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

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