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Puerto Cabello II vs Club Atletico Barinas Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 19:30

Puerto Cabello II

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Club Atletico Barinas

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.6%0-22.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.9%1-17.8%1-26.3%1-33.4%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.4%2-18.6%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.9%3-16.3%3-25.1%3-32.7%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-15.8%4+-24.7%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 27.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.3%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Cabello II2.2

Club Atletico Barinas1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO CABELLO II · PPG 1.22

CLUB ATLETICO BARINAS · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Cabello II (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Club Atletico Barinas (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Cabello II face Club Atletico Barinas in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Cabello II a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Club Atletico Barinas 28%, so Puerto Cabello II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Puerto Cabello II and 1.6 for Club Atletico Barinas (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Cabello II are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.78 for Club Atletico Barinas.

Puerto Cabello II vs Club Atletico Barinas Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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