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Atletico Avila FC vs Petare FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 19:30

Atletico Avila FC

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Petare FC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-031.9%0-119.5%0-26.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.9%1-110.4%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-04.5%2-12.8%2-20.8%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.8%3-10.5%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.6% — — —

Draw 38.3% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 27.6% — — —

Over 3.5 11.4% — — —

BTTS 33.3% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob33.3%

D 38% / xG 0.5-0.6 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 31.9%

#2 0–1 19.5%

#3 1–0 16.9%

#4 1–1 10.4%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Avila FC0.5

Petare FC0.6

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 27.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO AVILA FC · PPG 1.00

PETARE FC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 1.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Avila FC (H) 32.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Petare FC (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Avila FC face Petare FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Avila FC a 33% chance, the draw 38% and Petare FC 29%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Atletico Avila FC and 0.6 for Petare FC (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Avila FC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Petare FC.

Atletico Avila FC vs Petare FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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