Today / Venezuela - Segunda División / Zamora FC B vs Urena SC

Zamora FC B vs Urena SC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 21 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 19:30

Zamora FC B logo
Zamora FC B
PPG 1.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Urena SC logo
Urena SC
PPG 2.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-19.3%0-27.4%0-34.0%0-4+2.3%1 1-07.2%1-111.6%1-29.3%1-35.0%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.5%2-17.2%2-25.8%2-33.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.9%3-13.0%3-22.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.1%
Draw 25.1%
Away win 42.8%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 37.6%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 34.1%
Away O1.5 48.0%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 67%
Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.1%

A 43% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%
#2 1–2 9.3%
#3 0–1 9.3%
#4 0–0 5.8%
#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamora FC B1.2
Urena SC1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMORA FC B · PPG 1.50

URENA SC · PPG 2.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zamora FC B (H) 32.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Urena SC (A) 42.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamora FC B face Urena SC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamora FC B a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Urena SC 43%, so Urena SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Zamora FC B and 1.6 for Urena SC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamora FC B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.56 for Urena SC.

PredictVantage

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