Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 30 Allianz Arena· Munich Sunday, April 19, 2026 15:30

Bayern Munich PPG 2.64

4-2 MISS

Stuttgart PPG 1.50

Over3.5· +20.8% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Munich face Stuttgart in Germany - Bundesliga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Munich a 78% chance, the draw 12% and Stuttgart 10%, so Bayern Munich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Bayern Munich and 1.4 for Stuttgart (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Munich are averaging 2.64 points per game versus 1.50 for Stuttgart. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.8%. This match finished 4-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 78.0%

Odds: 1.40 EV: +9.2%

Draw 11.5%

Odds: 5.20 EV: -40.2%

Away 10.4%

Odds: 6.20 EV: -35.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 88.2% Odds: 1.25 +10.3%

Over 3.5 74.6% Odds: 1.62 +20.8%

BTTS 74.0% Odds: 1.36 +0.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1 ✘

2nd 4-1 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 3-2 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayern Munich

3.66

Stuttgart

1.43

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +10.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.8%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 73%

BTTS/No 76%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 1.8%

Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.64), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus