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Cham vs Paradiso Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Cham

PPG 1.98 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Paradiso

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-13.7%0-22.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.6%1-18.5%1-24.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.7%2-19.7%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.6%3-17.4%3-24.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-17.2%4+-24.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 21.0% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 38.4% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 35.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 80 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 56% / xG 2.3-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 3–1 7.4%

#5 3–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cham2.3

Paradiso1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CHAM · PPG 1.98

PARADISO · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cham (H) 56.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paradiso (A) 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cham face Paradiso in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cham a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Paradiso 21%, so Cham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Cham and 1.1 for Paradiso (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cham are averaging 1.98 points per game versus 1.10 for Paradiso. This match finished 0-2.

Cham vs Paradiso Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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