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Basel II vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:30

Basel II

PPG 1.79 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Grand-Saconnex

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.8%0-24.0%0-32.7%0-4+2.3%1 1-03.6%1-17.4%1-27.6%1-35.2%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.4%2-17.1%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.2%3 3-02.2%3-14.5%3-24.7%3-33.2%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.4%4+-23.5%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 40.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.3% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 80 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.6%

A 40% / xG 1.9-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%

#2 1–2✓ 7.6%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Basel II1.9

Grand-Saconnex2.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BASEL II · PPG 1.79

GRAND-SACONNEX · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Basel II (H) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grand-Saconnex (A) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Basel II face Grand-Saconnex in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Basel II a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Grand-Saconnex 40%, so Grand-Saconnex are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Basel II and 2.1 for Grand-Saconnex (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Basel II are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.14 for Grand-Saconnex. This match finished 1-2.

Basel II vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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