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Breitenrain vs Bulle Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:30

Breitenrain

PPG 1.57 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bulle

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.4% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.4%0-24.8%0-32.9%0-4+2.0%1 1-05.1%1-19.2%1-28.3%1-35.0%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.8%2-27.1%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.5%3-14.5%3-24.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.8%4+-22.5%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 41.7% 2.40 -15.0%

Draw 22.7% 27.4% 3.65 -10.3%

Away win 41.8% 41.7% 2.40 +0.3%

Over 2.5 63.4% 67.6% 1.48 -6.2%

Over 3.5 39.5% 45.5% 2.20 -13.1%

BTTS 61.8% 70.4% 1.42 -12.2%

Home O1.5 49.2% 54.1% 1.85 -9.0%

Away O1.5 48.2% 54.1% 1.85 -10.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 80 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.8%

A 42% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2✓ 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Breitenrain1.7

Bulle1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BREITENRAIN · PPG 1.57

BULLE · PPG 1.75

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Breitenrain (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -15.0%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -10.3%

Bulle (A) 41.8%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Breitenrain face Bulle in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Breitenrain a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Bulle 42%, so Bulle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Breitenrain and 1.8 for Bulle (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Breitenrain are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.75 for Bulle. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +1.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Breitenrain vs Bulle Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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