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Puszcza Niepołomice vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:30

Puszcza Niepołomice

PPG 1.17 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Odra Opole

PPG 1.66 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.1%0-115.9%0-26.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.3%1-112.9%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.6%2-15.2%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.8%3-11.4%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 45.5% 2.20 -19.3%

Draw 34.0% 32.3% 3.10 +5.4%

Away win 29.3% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%

Over 2.5 34.8% 47.6% 2.10 -26.9%

Over 3.5 17.9% 26.7% 3.75 -19.7%

BTTS 45.5% 55.6% 1.80 -18.1%

Home O1.5 32.1% 42.0% 2.38 -23.6%

Away O1.5 20.0% 33.3% 3.00 -24.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -10.1%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.5%

D 34% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.1%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 1–0 16.3%

#4 0–1 15.9%

#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puszcza Niepołomice0.8

Odra Opole0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PUSZCZA NIEPOŁOMICE · PPG 1.17

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 1.66

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 1.60 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puszcza Niepołomice (H) 36.7%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -19.3%

Draw 34.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +5.4%

Odra Opole (A) 29.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Puszcza Niepołomice face Odra Opole in Poland - I Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puszcza Niepołomice a 37% chance, the draw 34% and Odra Opole 29%, so Puszcza Niepołomice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Puszcza Niepołomice and 0.8 for Odra Opole (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puszcza Niepołomice are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.66 for Odra Opole. This match finished 3-1.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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