Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland / Karlskrona vs Torns

Karlskrona vs Torns Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

Karlskrona

PPG 2.14 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Torns

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.53 for Home, form 2.14 vs 1.12 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.1%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.2%1-14.0%1-21.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.3%2-16.9%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.4%3-18.0%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-017.8%4+-116.8%4+-27.9%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.0% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 8.4% — — —

Over 2.5 73.0% — — —

Over 3.5 52.7% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -11.6%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob61.3%

H 75% / xG 3.5-0.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.4%

#2 3–1 8.0%

#3 4–0 7.3%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 4–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlskrona3.5

Torns0.9

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSKRONA · PPG 2.14

TORNS · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.53 for Home, form 2.14 vs 1.12 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Karlskrona (H) 75.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Torns (A) 8.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlskrona face Torns in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlskrona a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Torns 8%, so Karlskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Karlskrona and 0.9 for Torns (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlskrona are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.12 for Torns. This match finished 5-0.

Karlskrona vs Torns Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland Predictions