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Grebbestad vs IFK Skövde Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

Grebbestad

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

IFK Skövde

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.4%0-25.4%0-33.1%0-4+2.0%1 1-05.9%1-110.1%1-28.6%1-34.9%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.6%2-17.9%2-26.8%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.4%3-14.2%3-23.6%3-32.0%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 39.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.5% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 3.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.3%

A 39% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.1%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grebbestad1.6

IFK Skövde1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GREBBESTAD · PPG 2.00

IFK SKÖVDE · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Grebbestad (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

IFK Skövde (A) 39.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grebbestad face IFK Skövde in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grebbestad a 37% chance, the draw 24% and IFK Skövde 39%, so IFK Skövde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Grebbestad and 1.7 for IFK Skövde (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grebbestad are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.29 for IFK Skövde. This match finished 1-1.

Grebbestad vs IFK Skövde Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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