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Motala vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 12:00

Motala

PPG 1.57 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Husqvarna

PPG 2.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 58.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-113.4%0-212.0%0-37.2%0-4+4.9%1 1-06.0%1-110.7%1-29.6%1-35.8%1-4+3.9%2 2-02.4%2-14.3%2-23.8%2-32.3%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.6%3-11.1%3-21.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.7% 25.3% 3.95 -20.4%

Draw 24.7% 25.3% 3.95 -1.5%

Away win 58.6% 59.5% 1.68 -1.6%

Over 2.5 50.9% 66.7% 1.50 -23.6%

Over 3.5 29.7% 43.5% 2.30 -19.0%

BTTS 50.6% 66.7% 1.50 -24.1%

Home O1.5 32.1% 39.2% 2.55 -18.1%

Away O1.5 48.2% 64.5% 1.55 -25.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 3.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob50.6%

A 59% / xG 0.8-1.8 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 0–2 12.0%

#3 0–1✓ 13.4%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Motala0.8

Husqvarna1.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MOTALA · PPG 1.57

HUSQVARNA · PPG 2.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.00 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Motala (H) 16.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -20.4%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -1.5%

Husqvarna (A) 58.6%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -1.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Motala face Husqvarna in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Motala a 17% chance, the draw 25% and Husqvarna 59%, so Husqvarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Motala and 1.8 for Husqvarna (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Motala are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.71 for Husqvarna. This match finished 0-1.

Motala vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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