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General Lamadrid vs Deportivo Español Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 23 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

General Lamadrid

PPG 2.08 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Español

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.4%0-116.9%0-25.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-111.7%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.3%2-14.0%2-21.3%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.4%3-10.9%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% 45.5% 2.20 -30.0%

Draw 38.5% 33.9% 2.95 +13.6%

Away win 29.7% 30.3% 3.30 -1.2%

Over 2.5 29.0% 38.5% 2.60 -14.8%

Over 3.5 12.5% 20.0% 5.00 -22.5%

BTTS 44.6% 47.6% 2.10 -6.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 38.5% 2.60 -16.5%

Away O1.5 17.4% 27.8% 3.60 -22.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 71%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.6%

D 38% / xG 0.7-0.6 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.4%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 0–1 16.9%

#4 1–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

General Lamadrid0.7

Deportivo Español0.6

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GENERAL LAMADRID · PPG 2.08

DEPORTIVO ESPAÑOL · PPG 1.36

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.05, combined xG 1.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

General Lamadrid (H) 31.8%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -30.0%

Draw 38.5%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +13.6%

Deportivo Español (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

General Lamadrid face Deportivo Español in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives General Lamadrid a 32% chance, the draw 39% and Deportivo Español 30%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for General Lamadrid and 0.6 for Deportivo Español (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, General Lamadrid are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.36 for Deportivo Español.

General Lamadrid vs Deportivo Español Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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