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Claypole vs Juventud Unida Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 20 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:00

Claypole

PPG 1.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud Unida

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.16, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-113.2%0-27.7%0-33.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.4%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.8%2-16.8%2-24.0%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.9%3-12.3%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 36.8% — — —

Over 2.5 49.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 0–1 13.2%

#4 1–0 11.4%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Claypole1.0

Juventud Unida1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CLAYPOLE · PPG 1.11

JUVENTUD UNIDA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.16, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Claypole (H) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventud Unida (A) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Claypole face Juventud Unida in Argentina - Primera C on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Claypole a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Juventud Unida 37%, so Juventud Unida are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Claypole and 1.2 for Juventud Unida (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Claypole are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.33 for Juventud Unida.

Claypole vs Juventud Unida Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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