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Berazategui vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 20 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:00

Berazategui

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Central Cordoba

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-112.5%0-24.3%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.5%1-112.7%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.5%2-16.5%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.2%3-12.2%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.5% 56.5% 1.77 -26.6%

Draw 31.3% 33.3% 3.00 -6.1%

Away win 27.2% 20.8% 4.80 +18.3%

Over 2.5 33.6% 39.2% 2.55 -14.3%

Over 3.5 17.1% 20.0% 5.00 -8.7%

BTTS 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Home O1.5 32.6% 45.5% 2.20 -28.3%

Away O1.5 20.3% 21.1% 4.75 -2.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.4%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%

#2 1–0 18.5%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–1 12.5%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Berazategui1.0

Central Cordoba0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BERAZATEGUI · PPG 1.33

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 1.30

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 1.71 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Berazategui (H) 41.5%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -26.6%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -6.1%

Central Cordoba (A) 27.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +18.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Berazategui face Central Cordoba in Argentina - Primera C on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berazategui a 42% chance, the draw 31% and Central Cordoba 27%, so Berazategui are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Berazategui and 0.7 for Central Cordoba (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berazategui are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.30 for Central Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +33.6%.

Berazategui vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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