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Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Central Ballester

PPG 0.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sportivo Barracas

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-110.3%0-26.1%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.9%1-113.0%1-27.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.9%2-18.1%2-24.8%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.4%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 29.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 34.7% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.7%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Ballester1.3

Sportivo Barracas1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL BALLESTER · PPG 0.90

SPORTIVO BARRACAS · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Ballester (H) 43.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sportivo Barracas (A) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Ballester face Sportivo Barracas in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Ballester a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Sportivo Barracas 29%, so Central Ballester are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Central Ballester and 1.2 for Sportivo Barracas (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Ballester are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 0.89 for Sportivo Barracas.

Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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