Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Orkla vs Rosenborg II
Orkla vs Rosenborg II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2
Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 17:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 40% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%
Form & verdict
ORKLA · PPG 1.00
ROSENBORG II · PPG 0.83
xG gap -0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Orkla face Rosenborg II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orkla a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Rosenborg II 40%, so Rosenborg II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Orkla and 1.9 for Rosenborg II (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orkla are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Rosenborg II.