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Herd vs Volda Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:00

Herd

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Volda

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.4%0-22.7%0-32.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-02.5%1-15.5%1-26.2%1-34.6%1-4+4.4%2 2-02.8%2-16.3%2-27.1%2-35.3%2-4+5.0%3 3-02.1%3-14.8%3-25.4%3-34.0%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-14.7%4+-25.3%4+-34.0%4+-4+3.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 38.2% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.3% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob70.3%

H 41% / xG 2.3-2.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.1%

#2 1–1 5.5%

#3 2–1 6.3%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Herd2.3

Volda2.2

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HERD · PPG 1.83

VOLDA · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Herd (H) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Volda (A) 38.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Herd face Volda in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Herd a 41% chance, the draw 21% and Volda 38%, so Herd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Herd and 2.2 for Volda (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Herd are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.83 for Volda.

Herd vs Volda Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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