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Vittsjö W vs Rosengård W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 12 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 17:00

Vittsjö W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rosengård W

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-18.1%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.5%1-112.2%1-25.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.2%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.1%3-14.6%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 37.0% 2.70 +33.1%

Draw 26.7% 32.3% 3.10 -10.3%

Away win 24.0% 43.5% 2.30 -26.9%

Over 2.5 50.4% 57.1% 1.75 -11.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 36.4% 2.75 -12.3%

BTTS 52.6% 64.5% 1.55 -18.5%

Home O1.5 45.4% 42.0% 2.38 +8.1%

Away O1.5 24.4% 47.6% 2.10 -29.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 13.5%

#3 0–0 9.0%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vittsjö W1.5

Rosengård W0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VITTSJÖ W · PPG 1.67

ROSENGÅRD W · PPG 0.80

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vittsjö W (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +33.1%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -10.3%

Rosengård W (A) 24.0%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -26.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vittsjö W face Rosengård W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vittsjö W a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Rosengård W 24%, so Vittsjö W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Vittsjö W and 0.9 for Rosengård W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vittsjö W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Rosengård W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.3%.

Vittsjö W vs Rosengård W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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