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Dordoi Bishkek vs Kara-Balta Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 14:30

Dordoi Bishkek

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kara-Balta

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-14.6%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.1%1-19.5%1-24.5%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.3%3-16.9%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-15.8%4+-22.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.6% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 21.0% — — —

Over 2.5 62.8% — — —

Over 3.5 39.7% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 27.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 30%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 58% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dordoi Bishkek2.1

Kara-Balta0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DORDOI BISHKEK · PPG 0.67

KARA-BALTA · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dordoi Bishkek (H) 57.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kara-Balta (A) 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dordoi Bishkek face Kara-Balta in Kyrgyzstan - Premier League on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dordoi Bishkek a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Kara-Balta 21%, so Dordoi Bishkek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Dordoi Bishkek and 0.9 for Kara-Balta (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dordoi Bishkek are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.17 for Kara-Balta.

Dordoi Bishkek vs Kara-Balta Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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