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Dordoi Bishkek vs Alga Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 14:30

Dordoi Bishkek

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Alga

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.16 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-111.4%0-211.5%0-37.7%0-4+6.2%1 1-04.9%1-19.8%1-29.8%1-36.6%1-4+5.3%2 2-02.1%2-14.2%2-24.2%2-32.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.9% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 59.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 33.8% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob52.3%

A 59% / xG 0.9-2.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%

#2 1–1 9.8%

#3 0–1 11.4%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dordoi Bishkek0.9

Alga2.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DORDOI BISHKEK · PPG 0.80

ALGA · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.16 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Dordoi Bishkek (H) 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alga (A) 59.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dordoi Bishkek face Alga in Kyrgyzstan - Premier League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dordoi Bishkek a 18% chance, the draw 23% and Alga 59%, so Alga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dordoi Bishkek and 2.0 for Alga (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dordoi Bishkek are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 2.33 for Alga.

Dordoi Bishkek vs Alga Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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