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Abdish-Ata vs Asia Talas Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 14:30

Abdish-Ata

PPG 0.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Asia Talas

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -1.38 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.5%0-28.2%0-36.9%0-4+7.9%1 1-02.9%1-17.4%1-29.3%1-37.8%1-4+9.0%2 2-01.7%2-14.2%2-25.3%2-34.4%2-4+5.1%3 3-00.6%3-11.6%3-22.0%3-31.7%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.0% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 56.5% — — —

Over 2.5 66.3% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob62.5%

A 56% / xG 1.1-2.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 0–2 8.2%

#4 1–3 7.8%

#5 0–3 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Abdish-Ata1.1

Asia Talas2.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ABDISH-ATA · PPG 0.75

ASIA TALAS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.38 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Abdish-Ata (H) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Asia Talas (A) 56.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Abdish-Ata face Asia Talas in Kyrgyzstan - Premier League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Abdish-Ata a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Asia Talas 56%, so Asia Talas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Abdish-Ata and 2.5 for Asia Talas (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Abdish-Ata are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Asia Talas.

Abdish-Ata vs Asia Talas Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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