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Junior W vs Millonarios W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 21:30

Junior W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Millonarios W

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.05 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-114.1%0-212.7%0-37.6%0-4+5.2%1 1-05.9%1-110.5%1-29.5%1-35.7%1-4+3.8%2 2-02.2%2-13.9%2-23.5%2-32.1%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.5%3-11.0%3-20.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.5% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 57.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob48.5%

A 58% / xG 0.7-1.8 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.7%

#2 0–1 14.1%

#3 1–1 10.5%

#4 1–2 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Junior W0.7

Millonarios W1.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JUNIOR W · PPG 1.00

MILLONARIOS W · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.05 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Junior W (H) 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Millonarios W (A) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Junior W face Millonarios W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Junior W a 18% chance, the draw 25% and Millonarios W 58%, so Millonarios W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Junior W and 1.8 for Millonarios W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Junior W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Millonarios W.

Junior W vs Millonarios W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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